I like asparagus.
When I was a kid, I didn’t like asparagus. Or
broccoli. Or bok choy. Or a big salad. But, evidently, I’m not a kid anymore,
because I like them all now.
When I was a kid, I wanted breakfast cereals full
of sugar and food coloring. However, Mother usually made oatmeal. When I was a
kid, I’d rather eat candy than healthy food. My parents knew what was good for
me, which was a good thing because, as a kid, I sure didn’t. My parents took
the responsibility to provide what I needed, not what I wanted, because what I
wanted tended to be bad for me, and I didn’t like what tended to be good for
me. Consumption in my house was not determined by my child-like demand for junk
food - I was consuming healthier food because my parents were responsible
for the supply.
So, let's talk about how the auto journalists are
sheltering the OEMs. The emerging party line that is being increasingly
propagated these days is “OEMs have higher efficiency offerings in their
line-ups but the consumer is not buying them, so don’t blame the OEMs for lower
efficiency vehicles on the road; blame the consumer for not choosing the higher
efficiency vehicles.”
That’s like saying “don’t blame parents for obese
kids, because even though parents put both sugared cereals and shredded wheat
in the cupboards, but the kids just eat sugar.” Of course they do – they’re
kids who don’t know what’s good for them. And the parents save money buying the
cheaper junk food, yet in the long run the damage caused to their kids, and the
social costs of an unhealthy population, far exceeds the relative meagre
savings of buying the junk cereal instead of better foods.
Have they really made efficiency attractive?
Take any OEM and look real hard at their lineup.
Notice how the fuel efficient vehicles are generally limited to the lower
models with fewer options? Why would any average consumer choose to spend more
money on any higher efficiency vehicle that also has the least amount of
comforts and options? Honda, the first OEM to offer a hybrid, currently makes a
hybrid Insight and a hybrid Civic, but they are both small cars. If you have
three children and need a larger people-mover, you’ve got to go up to an Accord
or a CR-V or a Pilot or an Odyssey; Accord hybrid doesn’t exist anymore, and
none of the larger models have hybrid options at all. This isn't to slam Honda,
it's just an observation of their current line-up - it is what it is, and
consumers have the right to look at it for what it is.
But wait, there’s more. In addition to being the
first hybrid maker, Honda is also the first Japanese company to introduce a
near-luxury brand, Acura. Look at their Acura lineup – not one single hybrid
option. How can the consumer be blamed for choosing less efficient vehicles
when a pioneering OEM like Honda doesn't even offer the option in larger
vehicles or in their near-luxury vehicles?
Let's look further still. Honda boasts the greenest fleet of any OEM. Honda
uses cylinder deactivation in its larger vehicles, and other advanced
technologies for efficient burning of fuel. Anyone who’s driven a Civic knows
that getting 800km from a 50L tank is doable. They already offer good fuel
economy, which is in part why the Civic is the number one selling vehicle in
Canada for the last 11 years. Honda has two of the best-selling models in auto
history (Civic and Accord). People the world over choose Honda, people trust
Honda, people like Honda (Accord is currently sold in more markets worldwide
than any other model in the industry).
If this is the case, on what basis can anyone fear
that the consumer does not want efficiency? People want efficiency, but they
also want a package that meets their lifestyle needs, and if OEMs put higher
efficiency technology into packages that fit consumer lifestyles, they’d sell
them.
Which comes first, supply or demand?
We can still look closer at this. There was a time
when the only 16-valve engine Honda offered was in the Prelude Special Edition.
By 1990, all Honda engines were multi-valve engines. Did the consumer say “we
don’t want multi-valve engines, we’re going to stop buying Honda vehicles”? No,
of course not. Honda decided that their engines were going to be multi-valve,
and that was that. And consumers kept buying.
Nissan has followed a nearly similar approach.
These days, you can buy “CVT” transmissions in many Nissan products. Most
people can’t explain what a CVT is. Why do they buy Nissan vehicles with the
CVT engine? Because they like Nissan - simple as that. When they buy the
vehicle they want and it happens to come in CVT only, they’re buying a CVT and
are often none the wiser. In a model that has options, some consumers will ask
the salesperson, “what’s the CVT option?” and the sales person will likely say
something like “it makes shifting much smoother and is also more fuel efficient
because the transmission is always spinning at optimum RPM”, to which the
consumer would likely reply “oh, cool, sounds good to me.”
VW/Audi makes diesel an option across almost their
entire line up.
Subaru has too. Subaru vehicles are all-wheel
drive. People buying Subaru tend to either know that before buying, or come to
be educated about it by the time they're ready to buy. Subaru said "this
is what we do, this is what we are." They're not going out of business
because they've made that decision. And they also understand that they're
probably not going to be the biggest auto maker on earth. Good for them, they
understand their market share, are content with their piece of the pie, and
their loyal customers identify with their brand.
If Honda decreed tomorrow that “all our engines
will be hybrid engines, from the Insight right up to the Odyssey and Pilot”,
would people just stop buying Honda vehicles? Of course not. Nissan is
championing CVT. Subaru champions their all wheel drive system. VW champions
diesel. Those who like those choices buy those brands. Loyal Honda customers
would keep right on buying just as they did with multi-valve engines. As a matter
of fact, chances are that most buyers wouldn’t even know the difference (ask
the average Canadian to explain the difference between a normal engine and a
multi-valve engine – I’ll bet the average Canadian can’t).
If the supply of new cars in Canada, across the
board, was more efficient, Canadians would not stop buying cars. Supply can
create demand, especially as more supply means more competition, and
competition tends to put downward pressure on price.
What is "efficient"?
Let’s quit the Orwellian double-speak that “higher
efficiency” must be translated as “electric-gas hybrid.” That’s as much a part
of the propaganda as anything else. There are all kinds of alternatives and
choices. Diesel dominates the European market (what do you know? Government can
create sufficient incentive to forge the direction of the entire industry. I
guess they're smarter than we are?), and diesel is a proven fuel efficient
platform. There is also progress in mating a diesel engine to a battery for a
diesel-electric hybrid. If a diesel-only engine on a 50L tank can
achieve 1000 km between fill ups, how much more if that engine had a battery
mated to it? And full electric vehicle technology has long since eclipsed the
point where viability is beyond question – the challenge here is to make them
more affordable to more people.
What is the key to affordability?
Have we learned nothing from the Model T? The last
unit rolled off the assembly line during the Great Depression, and it
remains on the top-10 list to this day. How’d Henry sell that many Model
Ts? Mass production - not niche production.
And that’s my point. The auto manufacturers aren’t
putting their best work (technology, design, production approach) into making
higher efficiency engines more affordable and more available across the board.
If they did, people would buy them more. And if any OEM stepped up and said
“from now on, every vehicle we make will achieve 10L/100km or lower and nothing
else," people would buy them.
Is it scientifically possible for a big SUV to
achieve 4L/100km? Let’s ask the question another way – if someone looking to
buy a large SUV could test drive one model with a choice between an engine that
burned 40L/100km and an engine that burned 4L/100km, and all the other luxuries
and options remained the same, and the engine choice option cost no more, which
would that person buy? Why wouldn't they buy the one that would cost less to
fuel?
That’s the challenge to which the OEMs are not
stepping up . Bringing down the cost is a factor of a number of matters. If the
supply is opened up so that per unit costs for components can come down, more
people will be able to afford them. Until they open up supply, it will remain a
niche option that costs the consumer more and maintains the excuse that
“consumers aren't buying efficiency.”
Who's responsible for progress?
I can’t blame a kid for eating candy when shredded
wheat and salad are “also available”. I blame the parents for dumping their
parental responsibility on kids who aren’t mature enough to make the healthier
choice. Yes, consumers are adults, but if we’ve decided that gas-guzzling,
emissions-spewing vehicles are not what’s best for our society, then it’s time
the producers of the supply of less efficient vehicles are held accountable for
what they’re pushing.
One of the problems in this entire discussion is
that OEMs are for-profit corporations with priorities that are not aligned with
socio-ecological priorities. That is an honest observation that should not be
swept under the rug in any conversation about the extent to which any OEM is
going to be more ecologically sound. We all need to grow up in this discussion,
and I lay the most weight on the OEMs who are driving supply, are driven by
profit priorities, and are too quick to throw the consumer under the bus and
lay blame when it's the consumer who pays - now when buying their supply, and
down the road when the consequences of our poorer choices have wrought their
results on our environments.
Given this organizational reality, who manages the
environments in which these for-profit corporations operate? Government. If
they can do it in Europe (a much bigger market with many more independent
countries to negotiate between), our lack of progress in this area is evidence
of a simple lack of political will. I do not believe we're not smart enough,
but maybe I'm wrong and we simply aren't. That would be easier to swallow than
to argue that we are smart enough but just don't care, or aren't motivated
beyond the money we see in front of our face.
Honda is heralding "blue skies for our
children" - our government ought to step up and adopt that
mandate for all manufacturers who sell cars in Canada. Together, government and
OEMs must work together to take responsibility for more efficient supply across
the board.
Dumping the responsibility on the consumer is
insulting and silly. We will follow the lead of the government and the
manufacturers. We, as tax payers and consumers, pay a lot of money to make
politicians and the auto industry rich - the obligation is on the government
and the industry to take that money and lead in a progressive, improving
trajectory.
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